- XRP is showing a long-term structure that CryptoBull compares to its early 2017 breakout and retest phase.
- Logarithmic cycle projections place the $50–$70 range in theoretical reach if a similar expansion unfolds.
- Confirmation through volume and sustained support is still required, as historical patterns alone don’t guarantee repetition.
Market cycles have this weird habit of repeating in ways that feel almost invisible while they’re happening. Then later, everyone looks back and says, “yeah, of course that was the setup.” In crypto, the biggest rallies usually don’t start with hype or headlines. They start with quiet retests, long stretches of consolidation, and chart structures that only really pop out if you’re staring at higher timeframes, not five-minute candles.
That’s basically where XRP seems to be sitting right now. It’s not in full breakout mode, not even close, but it’s drifting into a zone that long-term analysts tend to treat as a “decision point” for the next cycle.
CryptoBull Sees a 2017-Style Setup Forming Again
This idea was recently pushed by analyst CryptoBull, who pointed to a strong similarity between XRP’s current market structure and the breakout phase it went through in early 2017. His take isn’t based on news flow, narratives, or social sentiment. It’s based on something simpler, and sometimes more powerful: price behavior repeating across cycles.
In technical market analysis, this is a common approach. Not because history always repeats perfectly, but because markets tend to move in recognizable sequences. Breakout, retest, expansion. Or breakout, fail, reset. It’s rarely more complicated than that.
The 2017 Retest That Looked Boring… Until It Wasn’t
Back in 2017, XRP broke above a major long-standing resistance level. After that breakout, price didn’t instantly launch into the stratosphere. It pulled back and retested the breakout zone, which at the time looked uneventful, almost dull. Most traders probably assumed it was just another slow grind.
Then the market snapped.
XRP went from fractions of a cent to a peak near $3.84, delivering one of the most aggressive rallies crypto has ever seen. It wasn’t gradual. It was explosive, and it rewrote what people thought was possible for altcoins at the time.
CryptoBull argues that XRP is now showing the same structural sequence. After rallying strongly in 2025, price cooled off, consolidated, and returned to test a key breakout region, rather than collapsing below it. Analysts usually see this kind of behavior as constructive. When a market retests support and holds, it often builds a stronger foundation for continuation, even if it takes longer than traders want.
Scaling the Pattern Into Today’s Market
This is where the analysis starts to get spicy.
CryptoBull uses proportional expansion from the 2017 cycle to suggest XRP could be setting up for a much larger move, mostly because the base is higher and the market structure has expanded. If a similar post-retest expansion plays out, projected targets stretch far beyond prior all-time highs, putting the $50–$70 zone into theoretical reach.
That projection assumes XRP follows a logarithmic growth path rather than a linear one. And in crypto, that’s not an unusual framework. Long-term cycle analysis often uses logarithmic scaling because these markets tend to move in bursts, not in smooth stair-steps. Still, it’s important to be real about it: these targets are speculative. They’re “if the structure repeats” scenarios, not guaranteed outcomes.
Fundamentals Are Very Different This Time Around
Another major difference is the backdrop. XRP isn’t operating in the same environment it had in 2017, when the market was smaller, less regulated, and honestly, way more chaotic. Today, regulatory uncertainty around Ripple has largely cleared, institutional participation is more visible, and liquidity conditions are deeper across major venues.
Supporters of the bullish case argue that these changes could provide stronger fundamental support if technical momentum accelerates. In other words, XRP might have a more solid runway now if the chart breaks out. At the same time, a bigger market cap and deeper liquidity can also slow down the speed of any move. It’s harder to go parabolic when the market is larger and more efficient.
So yes, the setup may rhyme, but the pacing could be different.
Confirmation Still Matters More Than Comparisons
Even with the optimism, confirmation is still the key piece. A real breakout would need sustained strength above support, expanding volume, and follow-through price action to validate any extreme upside targets. Without that, historical similarities are just similarities, and crypto is full of patterns that looked perfect until they failed.
For now, XRP sits in a technically sensitive zone. It’s not “bullish mania” territory, but it’s also not breakdown territory either. Whether history rhymes or diverges, analysts seem to agree on one thing: XRP is approaching a point where the next decisive move could shape its trajectory for years.
