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Gold vs. Bitcoin: Which Reigns Supreme as an Economic Hedge?

by Drop Gorn
April 24, 2025
in Bitcoin, Crypto, Finance, Investing, Opinion
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Gold vs. Bitcoin: Which Reigns Supreme as an Economic Hedge?
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  • Gold and Bitcoin as Safe Havens: Amid economic uncertainties like inflation and trade tensions, both gold and Bitcoin have emerged as preferred assets for preserving value. Gold reached a record high of $3,500 per ounce, with forecasts suggesting it could surpass $4,000 by 2026. Bitcoin, trading around $93,500, has seen increased institutional investment, notably through BlackRock’s IBIT ETF.​
  • China’s Strategic Gold Accumulation: The People’s Bank of China has been consistently increasing its gold reserves, now holding over 2,292 tonnes. This move reflects a broader trend of de-dollarization and a shift towards assets perceived as more stable.​
  • Diversification Benefits: While Bitcoin offers higher returns, it comes with greater volatility compared to gold.Combining both assets in an investment portfolio can enhance risk-adjusted returns, balancing gold’s stability with Bitcoin’s growth potential.​

Amid rising inflation, a weakening U.S. dollar, and escalating trade tensions, investors are increasingly turning to gold and Bitcoin as hedges against economic uncertainty.​

Gold and Bitcoin Surge Amid Economic Uncertainty

Gold prices have reached a record high of $3,500 per ounce, driven by concerns over U.S. monetary policy and global economic instability. JPMorgan forecasts gold could average $3,675 per ounce by late 2025, potentially surpassing $4,000 by mid-2026 if current trends persist.  China’s central bank has significantly increased its gold reserves, now holding over 2,285 tonnes, reflecting a strategic move towards de-dollarization.

Bitcoin has also seen substantial gains, trading around $93,500, up over 20% year-to-date. Institutional interest is growing, with BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) attracting significant investments, contributing to Bitcoin’s mainstream adoption. ​

Gold Usd Chart

When Cash Is No Longer Attractive

The U.S. government’s establishment of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve marks a significant policy shift, recognizing Bitcoin as a strategic asset.  Both gold and Bitcoin are increasingly viewed as effective hedges against inflation and currency devaluation, offering alternatives to traditional fiat currencies

Bitcoin and Gold Correlation

Gold and Bitcoin: Which One Is Better?

Bitcoin’s volatility has decreased, with its 30-day volatility at its lowest in two years, while gold’s volatility has increased amid market uncertainties.  Long-term, Bitcoin has outperformed gold in terms of purchasing power growth.However, due to its higher volatility, Bitcoin may be more suitable for investors with a higher risk tolerance, whereas gold remains a preferred choice for conservative investors.​

Notably, the correlation between Bitcoin and gold is weak or negative, especially during periods of market stress, suggesting that combining both assets could enhance portfolio diversification. ​

Conclusion

Gold offers stability and a long-standing reputation as a store of value, while Bitcoin provides adaptability and growth potential in the digital age. A balanced investment approach that includes both assets may offer the best opportunity for wealth preservation and growth in the current economic climate.​

Tags: BitcoinblackrockETFgoldJPMorganStrategic Bitcoin Reserve
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