- April 4 will see $200M+ in staked SOL unlock—the biggest unlock until 2028.
- Concerns grow over sell pressure, especially as these tokens were bought cheap.
- $100–$115 is key support. Hold it, and maybe we’re chillin’. Lose it, and things could get messy fast.
Alright, buckle up. April 4, 2025 is shaping up to be a huge day for Solana holders (and maybe traders biting their nails). Why? A major unlock event’s about to go down, and yeah—it’s kind of a big deal.
Big Bags, Big Unlock
According to on-chain data from Arkham Intelligence, over $200 million worth of staked SOL is being released all at once. It’s the largest single-day unlock for Solana that we’ll see until 2028. Wild, right?
Here’s the kicker—these tokens were staked way back in April 2021. So, anyone holding since then? They’re sitting on a sweet 5.5x return at current prices. Not bad.
But now… with that much SOL reentering circulation, people are (understandably) a little twitchy. That kind of influx could lead to selling pressure—and fast.
A Quick Breakdown
So what kind of numbers are we talking? Check this out:
- One address is unlocking 991,079 SOL—worth about $27.3 million.
- Another wallet’s set to release 297,323 SOL, which clocks in around $7.43 mil.
- Then there’s 74,330 SOL ($1.97M) and 34,687 SOL ($936k) unlocking too.
That’s a lotta SOL hitting the streets.
Inflation’s Not Helping
If you’ve been following Solana’s inflation rate, you already know it’s not exactly low. Back in January, a pseudonymous user, artchick.eth, dropped a breakdown of SOL’s unlock schedule through 2028. At the time, inflation hovered around 4.7%.
Between Jan and Feb alone, over 13.6 million SOL (yeah, that’s roughly $1.5 billion) entered circulation. And let’s not forget—tons of that SOL was bought on the cheap during the FTX auctions. We’re talkin’ $64 per token territory.
Price Watching: What’s Next?
With all this happening, traders and analysts have their eyes glued to the charts. Crypto Patel (you might’ve seen his stuff floating around X) pointed out that SOL is currently hanging near a critical Fibonacci support level—somewhere between $100 and $115.
Right now, it’s trading at about $114.35. If it can stay above that $100 line, we might see some early accumulation. But if that support crumbles… well, we’re looking at a possible drop to the $50–$72 zone. Ouch.
Still, that range isn’t all bad news. It sparked a legendary rally back in 2020–2021—like, a 2,100% gain. So who knows, history might repeat itself.
Oh, and if SOL somehow flips $186 again? That could be the green light for the next bull run. But we’re not there. Yet.
