- XRP has fallen 3.2% over the past 24 hours, with analysts closely watching the $0.80-$1.10 support zone.
- Egrag Crypto says XRP’s Super Guppy indicator is entering a cooldown phase that could eventually lead to another major expansion.
- Another analyst warns a weekly death cross could keep pressure on XRP unless it reclaims the key $1.20 level.
XRP pulled back on Sunday as traders turned their attention to an increasingly important technical setup that could shape the token’s next major move.
At the time of writing, XRP is trading around $1.13, down 3.21% over the past 24 hours. Trading activity has also cooled noticeably, with CoinMarketCap showing daily volume falling 43.3% to roughly $1.14 billion. Even so, XRP remains up nearly 8.8% over the last seven days, suggesting buyers haven’t completely stepped away.
The latest price action has left analysts divided. Some believe XRP is simply cooling off before another breakout, while others warn that bearish signals are beginning to build.
Super Guppy Signals a Cooling Phase
Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto believes XRP is entering what he describes as a macro cooldown rather than the start of a larger breakdown.
His focus is on the weekly Super Guppy indicator, which has shifted away from a strong green expansion into a mix of grey and neutral compression bands. That transition generally points to slowing momentum after a strong move higher.
According to Egrag, this doesn’t necessarily invalidate the broader bullish structure. Instead, it may represent a healthy retest before the next leg of the cycle begins.
For now, one area matters more than anything else.
The analyst says XRP must continue holding the $0.80 to $1.10 zone. As long as price remains within that broader range, the larger market structure stays intact. A decisive break below it, however, would significantly weaken the bullish outlook.
Bulls Need to Reclaim Key Resistance
If buyers regain control, Egrag says there are several milestones XRP will need to clear.
First, the token needs to hold support and climb back above the red moving-average zone. That would ideally be followed by the Super Guppy returning to a green expansion phase, signaling that bullish momentum has returned.
Should that happen, Egrag outlined several long-term upside targets.
His projected levels include $3.59 as an initial objective, followed by a broader range between $6.73 and $9.17. Beyond that, he identified $16.36 as another possible cycle target, while an extended bull market could theoretically push XRP toward $53.86.
Those higher targets remain highly speculative and would depend on a much stronger market cycle developing over time.
Weekly Death Cross Raises Another Warning
Not everyone is convinced XRP is ready to recover just yet.
Market analyst ChartNerd pointed to a developing bearish signal on the weekly chart. According to him, XRP is approaching a potential death cross between the 20-week exponential moving average and the 200-week simple moving average.
Historically, similar crossovers have appeared during previous crypto bear markets and often preceded extended periods of weakness.
The 200-week SMA currently sits near $1.20, making it an especially important level.
If XRP continues trading below that moving average, it could act as strong overhead resistance during future rallies. Reclaiming and holding above $1.20 would go a long way toward reducing that bearish risk.
History Suggests the Bottom May Not Be In Yet
ChartNerd also looked at how XRP behaved during previous market cycles.
During the 2022 downturn, XRP found its cycle bottom roughly one week after a similar death cross formed. If history repeats in that way, the recent area around $1 could prove to be a solid local low.
However, the earlier 2018-2020 bear market tells a very different story.
Back then, XRP continued declining for roughly six months after the weekly death cross appeared before finally establishing its bottom. Based on that comparison, ChartNerd believes the current cycle could still see XRP revisit the $0.90 or even $0.70 area sometime between now and the end of 2026.
XRP Reaches a Critical Decision Point
For now, XRP finds itself caught between bullish long-term projections and growing technical caution.
The Super Guppy compression suggests momentum is slowing but not necessarily reversing, while the potential weekly death cross reminds traders that downside risks haven’t disappeared.
Whether XRP can reclaim $1.20 and restore bullish momentum—or slips back toward lower support levels—may determine the direction of its next major trend.
