- Claims that XRP will reach $100 in 2025 are mathematically impossible based on market cap requirements.
- Analysts highlight that XRP would need a $6T valuation — far above Bitcoin and the entire crypto market today.
- XRP is weakening near $2 and may slide toward the $1.8–$1.9 range in December.
Since early 2025, a wave of loud predictions on social media pushed the idea that XRP would explode to $100 before year’s end. That kind of hype triggered a fresh wave of FOMO, pulling in newer investors who hoped they were catching the next big breakout. But the narrative has flipped pretty hard. Forget climbing toward $100 — Ripple’s native token is now struggling to stay above $2 and could slip back into the $1 range before the year wraps up.
Why Analysts Are Rejecting the $100 Target
Some analysts never bought into the $100 hype, and now their warnings are looking far more realistic. Influencer Zach Humphries went public on X, laying out why XRP hitting $100 in 2025 just isn’t grounded in reality. To reach that price, XRP’s market cap would need to explode to nearly $6 trillion — a number that simply doesn’t match the size of the current crypto market. For comparison, Bitcoin at $85,000 sits around $1.7 trillion. XRP’s market cap is only $122 billion today, and overtaking Bitcoin isn’t just unlikely; it’s mathematically out of reach in the current environment.
Long-Term Outlook Is Still Positive, but the Math Doesn’t Lie
Humphries clarified he isn’t anti-XRP. In fact, he said he’s bullish on the token long-term, but he pushed back on what he calls “delusional” expectations being sold to inexperienced investors. With about a month left in the year, the entire crypto market cap stands at roughly $3 trillion — meaning even if every dollar flowing into crypto went straight into XRP, it still wouldn’t hit a $6 trillion valuation. The numbers just don’t add up, and the hype is misleading people who don’t fully understand market cap mechanics.
XRP Price Weakens as Bearish Pressure Builds
At the moment, XRP has slipped toward the $2 level and is hovering dangerously close to the $1.9 range. The token is already down nearly 20% over the past month, and liquidity continues drifting toward other assets. If bearish pressure keeps building into December, analysts warn XRP may correct further into the $1.8 range — a far cry from the explosive move many predicted earlier this year.
