- XRP struggles at $1.35–$1.40 despite short-term bounce
- Macro pressure and risk-off sentiment continue to weigh on price
- ETF flows and rate cuts could drive the next major rally
XRP is sitting in a bit of a tight range right now, and the $1.35 to $1.40 zone is proving harder to break than expected. Even with a small bounce in the last 24 hours, the broader trend still leans weak, with most timeframes showing red.
After a strong 2025, this kind of slowdown feels noticeable. But it’s not happening in isolation, it’s part of a wider market environment that’s keeping pressure on nearly all risk assets.
Resistance Is Holding for Now
The current structure is pretty clear. XRP keeps running into sellers around the $1.35–$1.40 range, and until that level flips, upside momentum remains limited.
At the same time, the pullback from its all-time high near $3.65 is still significant. A roughly 60% drawdown tends to shake confidence, even if the long-term story hasn’t fully changed.
Short-term moves might look encouraging, but the broader trend still needs confirmation.
Macro Is Still Driving the Market
Like most crypto assets right now, XRP is being pulled more by macro conditions than internal developments. Geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and uncertain monetary policy are all weighing on investor sentiment.
When risk appetite drops, capital tends to step back. And assets like XRP, despite strong narratives, still fall into that risk category for most investors.
That’s why price action feels muted, even with positive developments in the background.
The Fundamentals Look Stronger Than the Price
Looking back at 2025, XRP actually had a strong year. The resolution of the SEC case removed a major overhang, and the introduction of spot ETFs opened the door to institutional exposure.
Those are not small milestones. ETF inflows, in particular, have become a major driver across crypto markets. If that trend picks up again, XRP could benefit significantly.
Right now, though, those tailwinds are being overshadowed by broader market conditions.
What Could Trigger the Next Move
For XRP to regain momentum, something external likely needs to shift. Easing geopolitical tension or clearer economic direction could help restore confidence across markets.
There’s also growing speculation around potential rate cuts. If the Federal Reserve loosens policy or injects more liquidity, risk assets tend to respond quickly.
That’s the kind of environment where XRP historically performs better.
Short-Term Targets vs Long-Term Setup
In the near term, some projections suggest XRP could move toward the $1.50 range. Breaking that level would be important, not just for price, but for sentiment.
From there, reclaiming $2 becomes more realistic, and eventually, attention shifts back toward previous highs. But those moves depend heavily on broader conditions improving.
A Market Waiting for Confirmation
Right now, XRP isn’t broken, but it’s not fully convincing either. It’s stuck between strong fundamentals and weak market conditions.
That usually means one thing, the next move will likely be driven by external factors, not just technical levels.
And if those factors align, the upside could come faster than expected. But until then, the resistance zone remains the key level to watch.
