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Bitcoin’s Ultimate Floor? 200 WMA Rises as Price Holds Strong

by Drop Gorn
May 19, 2025
in Bitcoin, Crypto, Finance, Opinion
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Bitcoin’s Ultimate Floor? 200 WMA Rises as Price Holds Strong
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  • Bitcoin’s 200 WMA Hits $47,000: Bitcoin’s 200-week moving average (WMA) has climbed to $47,000, a key support level that smooths out volatility and highlights long-term trends. Blockstream CEO Adam Back suggests Bitcoin now has a solid floor below it, viewing anything above the WMA as short-term noise.
  • Potential Pullbacks Still Possible: Despite the new support level, Bitcoin can still dip below the 200 WMA, as seen during the March 2020 crash. However, such dips tend to be brief and often attract heavy buying interest from bottom-seeking investors.
  • Institutional Interest Boosting BTC: Bitcoin hit an intraday high of $104,002 earlier today and is up 22% over the past month. Analysts attribute the rally to strong institutional buying, including BlackRock’s IBIT ETF inflows, which have reportedly helped Bitcoin navigate recent market turbulence.

Bitcoin’s 200-week moving average (WMA) just hit a new milestone – $47,000, according to Blockstream CEO Adam Back. And it only took about a month for it to climb from $46,000 to this new level.

Why the 200 WMA Matters

For those not familiar, the 200 WMA is a key indicator that smooths out price volatility and highlights long-term trends. It’s widely seen as the ultimate floor level for Bitcoin, a line that rarely gets crossed for long.

According to Back, the fact that the 200 WMA has now crossed $47,000 suggests Bitcoin’s got a solid support zone below it. In his view, anything above that line is just short-term noise. Essentially, Bitcoin’s looking “pretty stable and up only,” he said.

#bitcoin 200wma passes $47khttps://t.co/BVPFxUDfOm pic.twitter.com/ZHzEv1b0mv

— Adam Back (@adam3us) May 17, 2025

Not a Guaranteed Bottom

But just because the 200 WMA is sitting at $47K doesn’t mean BTC can’t dip below it. Case in point: the March 2020 crash. Back then, Bitcoin fell under its 200 WMA briefly before snapping back up. These dips are usually short-lived, though, and tend to attract heavy buying interest from investors looking to buy the bottom.

Institutional Interest Driving the Rally?

Earlier today, Bitcoin hit an intraday high of $104,002, according to CoinGecko. It’s now up 22% over the past month – a rally that some believe is fueled by rising institutional interest.

BlackRock’s IBIT ETF inflows and significant corporate buying have reportedly helped Bitcoin weather the latest macro turbulence. If that kind of institutional momentum continues, the 200 WMA may end up being a very strong floor indeed.

At press time, BTC remains just below its local high, trading near $104,000. Whether it pushes higher or pulls back toward the 200 WMA is the big question now. With institutional players stepping in, it’s a pivotal moment for Bitcoin’s next move.

Tags: Adam BackBitcoinblackrockBlockstreamCoinGeckoETF
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