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Analyzing XRP’s Surge: Whale Buying, ETF Rumours, and the Path Ahead

by Drop Gorn
January 16, 2025
in CRYPTO
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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  • XRP whales have accumulated 1.43 billion tokens since November 2024, marking a 37.4% increase worth $3.8 billion.
  • Reduced market liquidity, with sell-side availability dropping from 40M to 18M XRP, has heightened FOMO and price momentum.
  • Legal uncertainties with the SEC and speculation around an XRP ETF are key factors shaping the token’s near-term trajectory.

Ripple and its crypto, XRP, have been at the center of attention lately, with their community divided between anticipation and frustration. While some investors faced dashed hopes for quick gains, a new surge of whale activity has reignited excitement. The accumulation trend coincides with rumors of a potential ETF and ongoing legal battles with the SEC, positioning XRP for a potentially explosive rebound.

Whale Activity Fuels XRP Optimism

The big players in the XRP market—whales holding between 1 and 10 million tokens—have been on a buying spree. Since November 2024, these heavyweights have amassed 1.43 billion XRP tokens, a staggering 37.4% increase in their holdings. This equates to roughly $3.8 billion in accumulated value, according to data from Santiment.

Key numbers shaping the market narrative include:

  • Current XRP price: $2.83, the highest since 2018.
  • Total whale accumulation since November: 1.43 billion tokens.
  • Projected investment in XRP ETPs by JPMorgan: Up to $8 billion.

Adding to the momentum, the sell-side liquidity in the market has also thinned significantly, dropping from 40 million XRP tokens available for sale between $2.70 and $2.90 to just 18 million. This reduced supply and heightened demand are turning XRP into a hot FOMO asset. Analyst Dom notes, “If this buying frenzy continues, we might see XRP breaking past the $3 mark.”

The Legal Showdown with the SEC: XRP at a Crossroads

Ripple’s clash with the SEC remains a central point of tension. While Ripple scored a victory in 2023, the SEC has yet to back down entirely. However, the political environment in the U.S. appears to be shifting, with a more crypto-friendly administration potentially easing the regulatory landscape.

According to Sean Dawson, a Derive analyst, “Even if the SEC pushes for an appeal, the broader pro-crypto sentiment could work in XRP’s favor.” Investors are also closely monitoring developments around a potential spot ETF, which, if approved, could elevate XRP into the ranks of must-have altcoins.

XRP’s Future: Momentum or Stall?

January’s signals suggest XRP could be on the cusp of a breakout. Whale movements, reduced market liquidity, and positive market sentiment are aligning in favor of the cryptocurrency. Yet, much depends on regulatory clarity and the potential approval of an ETF.

The coming months will be pivotal for Ripple and XRP as the crypto world watches closely to see whether these factors propel XRP beyond $3 or leave it grappling with the challenges ahead. For now, the whales are swimming, and the market is paying attention.

Tags: $XRPAltcoinETFrippleSean Dawsonsec
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