- Dogecoin has regained momentum, breaking key moving averages and approaching $0.10
- Rising Open Interest and short liquidations signal stronger bullish positioning
- Increasing exchange inflows suggest profit-taking could trigger a short-term pullback
Dogecoin has been quietly building momentum again, and this time it feels a bit more… structured. After dipping down to around $0.090, the memecoin bounced back with enough strength to reclaim both its 20-day and 50-day moving averages, which is usually a decent sign of shifting sentiment. It even pushed up to a three-week high near $0.097 before easing off slightly—nothing dramatic, just a small pause.
At the time of writing, DOGE is hovering around $0.096, up nearly 5% on the day and holding onto similar gains over the week. There’s a noticeable change in tone across the market too—traders seem more willing to take risks again, and Dogecoin tends to thrive in that kind of environment, even if things get a little messy along the way.
Futures Activity Shows Growing Confidence
Under the surface, things are getting interesting. Open Interest has climbed about 10% to $1.2 billion, which suggests traders are stacking positions rather than stepping back. At the same time, derivatives volume actually dropped by 23%, which is a bit unusual—it points to fewer trades happening, but larger or more committed positions being built.
Capital flow tells a similar story. Around $718 million moved into futures positions, while about $662 million exited, leaving a positive netflow. That pushed Dogecoin’s futures netflow up by over 40%, signaling stronger positioning overall. A big part of this shift came from short liquidations—over $2.7 million worth—which forced some traders to close losing bets and, in many cases, flip long.
Bulls Regain Control as Momentum Builds
Looking at price structure, Dogecoin has been printing higher highs and higher lows, which is usually the simplest way to describe an uptrend. The Bulls vs Bears indicator has jumped to a three-week high, showing buyers are, at least for now, in control of the market. It’s not overwhelming dominance, but it’s clear enough.
The RSI backs that up too, sitting around 58. That level doesn’t scream overbought, but it does show buyers are steadily pushing the market forward. Historically, when Dogecoin enters this kind of phase—where optimism creeps in and risk appetite rises—it tends to extend its moves a bit further than expected. If that continues, the $0.10 level starts to look like a realistic next target.
Profit-Taking Starts to Creep In
That said… not everything is perfectly bullish. After touching that recent high near $0.097, exchange activity picked up in a way that suggests some traders are cashing out. Spot inflows rose to about $97 million, while withdrawals lagged slightly behind, creating a positive netflow.
And that matters, because positive netflow usually hints at more coins being sent to exchanges—often a sign that holders are preparing to sell. In fact, netflow jumped over 150%, which is a pretty sharp increase in a short time. It doesn’t guarantee a drop, but it does raise the chances of a short-term pullback.
A Tug-of-War Between Momentum and Selling
So now Dogecoin sits in a bit of a tug-of-war. On one side, you’ve got strong momentum, rising futures positioning, and bullish structure building. On the other, there’s growing selling pressure from profit-takers who don’t want to risk giving back recent gains.
If the bullish momentum holds, DOGE could push toward that $0.10 resistance and maybe test it properly. But if selling continues to build, a retrace back toward the $0.092 area wouldn’t be surprising either. For now, it’s one of those moments where the trend looks solid… but not entirely safe.
