- XRP is forming a year-long ascending triangle with breakout potential between Sept–Dec 2025.
- Price remains above all key EMAs, showing strong long-term support.
- Traders are eyeing $3.05–$3.10 as the breakout trigger zone, while $2.70 acts as critical near-term support.
XRP’s price is still moving inside a long-term ascending triangle, a structure that traders know often precedes explosive moves. Analyst EGRAG CRYPTO has been tracking the setup closely, noting that it’s been building for nearly 362 days — a pretty long stretch by crypto standards. According to his math, the breakout window lands somewhere between late September and early December 2025.
If the pattern plays out, the 70% completion mark points to September 22 as an early breakout shot, while the 80% mark extends that timeline to October 28. For those who like to wait until the very edge, the 90% completion signals December 6 as the last possible pivot date.
The formation matches the broader technical backdrop: XRP has been consolidating tighter and tighter, a behavior that usually sparks volatility expansion once the coil finally snaps.
XRP Holds Strong Above Key Moving Averages
At the moment, XRP is trading around $2.87, slipping about 3.3% over the past week. Even with that dip, it’s still holding well above its 20-week EMA at $2.78, which has acted as reliable support. Below that, the 50, 100, and 200 EMAs sit at $2.33, $1.79, and $1.29. They’re all neatly stacked in ascending order, a textbook sign that the long-term trend is still firmly intact.
This layering of moving averages shows resilience even when prices wobble short-term. Traders seem to be steadily accumulating during these small corrections, building what looks like a patient higher-low structure on the weekly chart.
Momentum Signals Neutral But Leaning Positive
Looking at momentum indicators, XRP appears to be in a cooling-off stage before its next move. The RSI sits at 54, basically right in neutral territory — not overbought, not oversold. This fits the idea that the market is just biding time, with buyers and sellers balancing each other out for now.
The MACD, on the other hand, still shows a slight bearish tilt, as the signal line edges above the main line. But the gap between them is narrowing, which often signals momentum loss from sellers. A proper crossover could flip sentiment quickly.
Key Levels to Watch Going Forward
For traders, the big resistance sits between $3.05 and $3.10. A clean breakout there could open the door to $3.50 and possibly beyond. But if XRP can’t stay above $2.70, pressure might drag it back down toward $2.33 or even $1.79, both of which remain larger structural supports.
Overall, the triangle setup, steady EMAs, and neutral indicators all suggest XRP is quietly gearing up for its next big move — the only question is when it decides to break loose.
