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SUI at a Crossroads: Will the $147M Token Unlock Kill the Momentum?

by Drop Gorn
April 2, 2025
in Crypto, Finance, Opinion, SUI
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SUI at a Crossroads: Will the $147M Token Unlock Kill the Momentum?
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  • SUI’s RSI surged from 29 to 59, showing strong buyer momentum—but failed to break above the key 60 level, hinting at hesitation.
  • Price is hovering at the edge of the Ichimoku Cloud, with a possible golden cross forming, but a breakout above $2.50 is needed to confirm bullish strength.
  • A $147M token unlock today could spark selling pressure, risking a drop toward $2.23 or lower if support levels fail to hold.

SUI’s in a tight spot right now. On the one hand, there’s been a decent bounce in momentum—on the other, there’s a $147 million token unlock dropping today that could mess everything up.

Yeah, the market’s been showing signs of recovery lately, and sure, SUI’s been riding that wave too… but it’s not all sunshine just yet.

RSI Pops—but Can’t Push Through 60

So here’s the deal. The RSI shot up—like, a big move. Yesterday it was chilling at 29.38 (pretty deep in oversold territory), and now it’s sitting just under 59.

That kind of spike usually means the buyers are back, right? And yeah, it’s definitely a good sign. But here’s the catch: it stalled right under 60. That’s kind of a pain point during recovery. You break it, you’ve got a shot at a trend flip. You don’t? Meh… things stay shaky.

Buyers clearly stepped in fast, but that hesitation near 60? That’s the market saying, “Maybe… but not yet.”

$SUI
Expecting a major upward move soon pic.twitter.com/NavxuRibJf

— Ether Wizz (@EtherWizz_) April 1, 2025

Ichimoku Cloud Looking Foggy—Still No Breakout

The Ichimoku Cloud’s showing SUI price bumping up against the edge of the Kumo cloud—almost like it wants to bust out, but… can’t quite do it.

We’ve got a few green flags: the Tenkan-sen (blue) line is rising and even crossed over the Kijun-sen (red) line, which usually means bullish energy is brewing. But the price? Still stuck under the cloud.

And yeah, the cloud ahead is thick and red, which usually spells trouble unless the bulls really show up.

So right now, SUI’s kind of stuck in limbo—not bearish, not full-on bullish either. Needs volume. Needs momentum. Needs something.

Sui Network $sui Technical Analysis

Can SUI Break $2.50… or Is $2.23 the Next Stop?

Technically, we’ve got a little hope. The EMA lines are tightening, which means we could be seeing the early stages of a golden cross. If that plays out, it’s usually a pretty reliable bullish signal.

But here’s the real pressure point: $2.50. That’s the level bulls need to break—cleanly. If that happens, $2.83 could be next in line.

That said… let’s not ignore the elephant in the room. The $147M token unlock happening today? Yeah, that could be a serious sell catalyst. If it sparks a dump, $2.23 becomes the first support, and if that breaks, we’re talking $2.11 or even $1.96 as downside targets.

Final Word: Decision Time for SUI

SUI’s technicals are almost there. RSI jumped. EMA’s tightening. A golden cross might be brewing. But it’s all sitting on a shaky foundation, and that token unlock could be the thing that tips it either way.

So—does SUI break $2.50 and flip bullish? Or does the selling pressure kick in and drag it back below $2.20?Time’s ticking, and the next few days could be critical.

Tags: $SUiBlockchaincryptoSui Network
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