- AVAX tests the lower boundary of a descending channel as buyers quietly accumulate.
- Granite upgrade brings faster finality, lower cross-chain fees, and biometric signing.
- A clean rebound and successful upgrade could position AVAX for a deeper recovery.
Avalanche is trading around $14.72, up a modest 2.84% in the past 24 hours, but market conditions still feel shaky. Trading volume slipped nearly 8%, landing at about $577.6 million — a sign that interest has softened even as price attempts a small recovery. And despite today’s uptick, AVAX is still down more than 14% on the week, reflecting the broader volatility hitting most large-cap altcoins right now. It’s one of those phases where price flickers upward, but sentiment doesn’t quite follow.
Testing the Bottom of a Descending Channel — Accumulation or Breakdown?
Analyst Butterfly pointed out that AVAX is pressing right against the lower boundary of a descending channel on the 3-day chart. That zone often acts as an accumulation region, where buyers quietly step in while the chart still looks bearish. If pressure builds here, a sharp breakout could form — and Butterfly even mentioned a possible push toward the $48 region. That’s a big jump, of course, and would need a clean shift in sentiment, but the combination of strong support and upcoming network upgrades is starting to stir some speculation.
It’s one of those setups where the price doesn’t look impressive yet, but the foundation underneath it might be changing.
The Granite Upgrade Arrives This Week — and It Could Be a Big Deal
Fueling the growing optimism is Avalanche’s Granite upgrade, which is set to roll out this week. Developers, users, builders — basically everyone in the ecosystem — is buzzing about it. Granite focuses on three major advancements that could push Avalanche’s performance to a whole new tier.
First is ultra-fast finality: transactions will settle in under two seconds. That’s faster than most networks can dream of, and it should massively improve how trading platforms, dApps, and enterprise users interact with the chain.
Second, the upgrade slashes cross-chain fees, making subnet activity and external asset transfers cheaper and much more practical. Analysts think this alone could drive wider adoption, especially among smaller investors or multi-chain users who hate expensive bridging.
Third, biometric transaction signing adds a fresh layer of security — fingerprint or facial recognition verification directly tied into wallet activity. It’s a modern, almost consumer-tech-style improvement that could set Avalanche apart from other L1 competitors still relying on traditional key signing alone.
A Smooth Rollout Isn’t Guaranteed — Developers Brace for a Tight Transition
Even with all the excitement, upgrades this big rarely happen without friction. Developers are preparing for compatibility checks, short maintenance windows, and potential adjustments as apps sync with the new standard. Users are being encouraged to update their wallets, follow official posts, and get familiar with how the new security and transaction flow works.
But if the rollout lands smoothly and demand picks up in its wake, Avalanche might be approaching a turning point. Between the technical bounce zone on the chart and a major network upgrade going live, AVAX could finally be laying the groundwork for a meaningful recovery — assuming buyers show up and the macro market doesn’t derail the setup.
