- AVAX price consolidates in a bullish triangle, eyeing $24.8 resistance.
- On-chain activity and rising DEX volumes strengthen the case for upside.
- ETF filings from Grayscale and VanEck could be the key catalyst for a breakout.
Avalanche (AVAX) has been drifting sideways in the past day, barely moving after stacking a solid +10% gain over the last month. Price action looks calm on the surface, but under the hood there’s tension building. The charts are hinting at bullish momentum, though fresh waves of selling across the broader market are throwing a little uncertainty into the mix.
AVAX Sits Inside Bullish Triangle
On the 4-hour chart, AVAX is coiling up inside a symmetrical triangle, the kind of setup traders usually associate with strong breakouts. Right now, price is hovering just above its triangle support, showing resilience, but the real challenge lies at resistance. The $24.8 mark has already forced two pullbacks, and it’s shaping up as the next big test.
Technical signals lean bullish. The Parabolic SAR is flashing dots beneath price candles, an early signal that buyers may be in control. Meanwhile, RSI sits around 52 and is nudging higher, suggesting there’s room for more upside if momentum doesn’t fizzle out.

On-Chain Activity Keeps the Bull Case Alive
Away from the charts, Avalanche’s network activity is sending green lights. DeFiLlama data shows TVL inching up 1.8% to $1.9 billion, proof that money isn’t shying away from the ecosystem. Trading volumes on decentralized exchanges are also pushing higher—up $67 million in just three days to $290.13 million.
Rising DEX volumes often act as a tell for coming volatility, sometimes front-running price breakouts. It’s another layer of strength in Avalanche’s current setup, even as market sentiment wobbles elsewhere.
ETF Speculation Could Be the Spark
The real kicker for AVAX might come from outside the charts. Grayscale’s late-August filing for an AVAX exchange-traded fund (ETF) has injected a dose of optimism into the market. That move follows VanEck’s own ETF application earlier this year, and together they highlight growing institutional interest in Avalanche.
If regulators give the green light, an AVAX ETF could funnel serious capital into the asset. That kind of backing would act as a tailwind, not just for short-term price moves but for the project’s long-term credibility in institutional circles. For now, all eyes remain on whether AVAX can clear resistance and ride the ETF wave into its next breakout.