- HBAR is down roughly 35% in 30 days as the death cross confirms bearish structure
- $0.076–$0.080 is the key short-term zone, with $0.072 as major cycle support
- Hedera remains strong in RWA development, but price action still favors downside continuation
Hedera, like most altcoins right now, has started flashing the kind of technical warning traders don’t love seeing. Over the past 30 days, HBAR is down roughly 35%, dragged lower by the broader crypto bear market and the current risk-off environment.
But what makes this drop feel more serious is where it’s happening. HBAR is losing its grip on the $0.10 support zone, a level that used to act like a floor. Now, bulls are facing a real test. Either they defend structure here… or this correction stretches deeper than most people want to admit.
HBAR follows the market correction into a full breakdown
On the weekly chart, HBAR is sliding into what looks like a full technical breakdown. The key signal is the death cross, triggered as the 50-day EMA crossed below the 200-day EMA. That crossover printed around January 31, and since then, price has struggled to reclaim even the short-term moving averages.
HBAR is now trading near $0.082 after getting rejected from early-January highs around $0.13. Former support levels at $0.093 and $0.10 have flipped into heavy resistance, acting more like supply walls than bounce zones. The RSI sitting around 18 screams oversold, but oversold doesn’t automatically mean “reversal.” Sometimes it just means the market is in liquidation mode.
And that stress has been visible. Once HBAR broke the $0.090 psychological level, it triggered an estimated $3.78 million in long liquidations. That kind of event reinforces downside momentum because it forces positions out, not because traders suddenly changed their minds.
Hedera keeps building, even while price bleeds
What makes this move uncomfortable is the disconnect between price and fundamentals. Hedera is still building aggressively, even as the token gets sold down with everything else.
On February 3, Santiment ranked Hedera number one in RWA development activity, ahead of peers like Chainlink and Avalanche. That’s not a small flex. The ecosystem has also continued stacking institutional signals, including the Hedera Council’s multi-year partnership with McLaren Racing.
On the technical side, the network completed the v0.70.0 testnet upgrade on February 5, setting the stage for improved smart contract automation tied to HIP-1249. Meanwhile, the Hedera Foundation has boosted incentives for USDC/HBAR pools on SaucerSwap and Heliswap, trying to keep on-chain liquidity healthy during the drawdown.
Still, none of that guarantees a price bounce. In bear markets, strong fundamentals often get ignored until the market mood changes. That’s just how it goes.
HBAR price outlook stays bearish until structure changes
From here, the chart’s roadmap is pretty straightforward. HBAR remains locked in a sustained downtrend. Every recovery attempt has been capped by the upper trendline, while the sequence of lower highs and lower lows confirms bearish control.
The most recent move pushed HBAR toward the bottom of the descending channel, signaling sellers are still dictating direction. From a key-level perspective, HBAR has already lost multiple Fibonacci retracement supports, including the breakdown below the 0.382 level near $0.161 and the failure to reclaim the 0.236 zone around $0.127.
Right now, price is hovering just above the prior cycle low zone near $0.072. This is the most critical structural support on the chart. If HBAR loses that level, it risks entering downside price discovery, because there isn’t much historical demand below it.
The Supertrend remains bearish and sits well above current price, reinforcing the idea that rallies are still corrective. And importantly, there’s no clear bullish divergence showing up on momentum yet, which keeps the overall bias defensive.
The key levels traders are watching next
The $0.076 to $0.080 zone is the immediate area to watch. If HBAR breaks below it cleanly, the next major magnet becomes the $0.067 retracement area. On the upside, $0.094 is the first ceiling that matters, and $0.10 is the level HBAR must reclaim on a daily close to meaningfully invalidate the bear thesis.
Until that happens, the chart still belongs to the bears. Hedera might be building, partnerships might be stacking, and RWA development might be leading the sector, but price is still telling the story the market is choosing to believe right now.
