- Litecoin’s price closed at $83.28, falling below all major weekly EMAs and signaling strong long-term bearish pressure with resistance stacked between $92–$102.
- Despite oversold momentum and weakening technicals, LTC risks deeper drops toward $76 or even the mid-$60s unless it reclaims the EMA cluster.
- On-chain data remains surprisingly strong: MWEB balances jumped from 104k → 350k LTC, hashrate doubled, and analysts suggest these trends could set the stage for a future recovery.
Litecoin has been slipping deeper into a rough patch, and last week’s close at $83.28 didn’t do much to calm nerves. Price is now sitting well below the major weekly EMAs — the 20, 50, 100, and 200 — which are all stacked together in a thick resistance wall between $91.84 and $102.22. When an asset trades under every one of its long-term trend indicators, it usually means the market is struggling to find any real bullish footing. Each EMA becomes another ceiling to punch through, and Litecoin now has four of them hanging overhead.
The weekly Bollinger Bands reinforce that same tone of weakness. LTC closed the week below the lower band near $86.61, signaling strong downside momentum instead of stabilization. The bands are widening too, which hints that volatility is picking up, not cooling off. Meanwhile, the mid and upper bands — $107.97 and $129.33 — feel like miles away. It would take a pretty dramatic reversal just to tap the mid-band again.
Momentum and Support Tell a Tough Short-Term Story
Momentum indicators continue to drag. The CRSI has plunged to 17.36, which is deeply oversold on the weekly chart. Oversold zones normally create bounce conditions… but bounces tend to get smacked back down when a thick EMA cluster is waiting overhead. Sure, LTC may pop up from here, but unless it clears $92–$102, any recovery is probably just a temporary relief rally.
On the Fibonacci retracement levels, Litecoin is basically boxing inside the $76.31 – $86.18 zone. If the 0.236 Fib at $86 breaks cleanly, then the next real support doesn’t show up until around $76–$78. And if that level cracks, price could drift into the mid-$60s — a region we haven’t touched in a while but isn’t impossible if the downtrend accelerates.
History also isn’t exactly encouraging. Past “oversold bounces” in Litecoin only held when LTC fully reclaimed the stacked EMAs. Without that recovery, every single pump eventually rolled back over. A true trend shift only happens once candles start printing above the long-term moving averages — a move that could open the door toward $108, and eventually the $120–$129 zone.
But Under the Hood, Litecoin Is Quietly Strengthening
Oddly enough, while price looks like it’s falling apart, Litecoin’s on-chain metrics are heading in the opposite direction. The MWEB privacy balances have jumped from 104k LTC to 350k LTC since January 2025 — a huge increase that suggests more users are actively moving into privacy features.
Hashrate has also surged from 1.8 PH/s to 3.7 PH/s, reflecting stronger miner participation and growing confidence in network security. Transactions per day remain consistent around the 200k mark, showing steady usage even while price cools off.
Crypto researcher Christopher ŁTC noted that in previous weekly “bull crosses,” even when user activity wasn’t crazy high, LTC still delivered impressive rallies afterward. It’s one of those patterns that doesn’t show up all the time but matters when it does.
Taken together, these stats paint a weird but interesting picture:
Price is lagging badly, yes… but the network itself is healthier than it looks. Usage, mining strength, and MWEB adoption all rising at the same time often gives hidden “early signal” energy before major price shifts.
Many analysts think Litecoin may be in the kind of zone long-term investors love — boring, ignored, undervalued — but with improving fundamentals under the surface.
