- Analysts believe altcoin season is heating up with U.S. regulatory clarity and Fed liquidity helping the market.
- BNB’s value looks fragile compared to Cardano, which has decentralized support from thousands of validators.
- ADA price targets sit between $5–$10, with $12 possible in a strong bull cycle.
Crypto analysts are sounding more confident that altcoin season has officially kicked off. Two major catalysts are falling into place at the same time—regulatory clarity in the U.S. and new liquidity expected from Federal Reserve rate cuts. These forces are fueling optimism across the market, with certain coins standing out as stronger contenders than others.
BNB, for example, just overtook Solana to claim the number five spot in global market cap rankings. But some experts warn its rise may not be as sustainable as it looks. They argue BNB’s strength leans heavily on the Binance exchange itself rather than deep blockchain fundamentals. If Binance were to lose market share or stumble, BNB’s value could face a hard collapse.
Why Cardano Looks More Sustainable Than BNB
Unlike BNB, Cardano (ADA) isn’t tethered to the fate of a single platform. Its proof-of-stake system runs on thousands of validators across the world, making it more resilient in the long run. Analysts believe this structure puts ADA in a stronger position to catch up.
One market watcher said, “ADA will definitely catch up to $BNB… it will go past $3.61 soon, because ADA’s value isn’t tied to one exchange.” The broader and more decentralized support base gives ADA a fundamental advantage in this race.
Cardano Price Targets: $5–$6 in the Current Cycle
A more cautious but data-driven outlook comes from Crypto Capital Venture, which maps ADA’s growth against its previous cycles. Their analysis puts the next big target around $4.90 to $5.00, based on where past runs have peaked. If patterns repeat, there’s even potential for a move toward $6.40.
This puts ADA’s realistic price range somewhere in the $5–$6 zone for this cycle. Current risk levels remain low, meaning the market still has breathing room before things start looking overheated. That leaves space for more growth before the next big correction.
Can Cardano Really Hit $12?
There’s also a bullish case for ADA stretching much higher. Some analysts say if the broader bull run extends long enough, Cardano could surge toward $12 over the coming years. The coin has a history of long periods of sideways trading followed by sharp rallies, which makes this scenario possible.
When comparing price action to overall market cap, ADA hitting around $7.25 would translate to a valuation of nearly $291 billion. Even with more modest performance, a practical range of $5 to $10 looks achievable in the current cycle, while $12 stays on the table if market momentum really takes off.