- TRUMP has dropped over 90 percent since its January peak, losing major market-cap ground.
- A December rate cut and broader 2026 market rebound could support a recovery.
- A new Bitcoin all-time high in 2026 may lift TRUMP along with the wider market.
Trump Coin has been on a painful slide for months, dropping nearly 92 percent from its January all-time high near $73. The token once rode a wave of hype tied to President Trump’s inauguration and his early pro-crypto stance, but that momentum faded way faster than many expected. TRUMP is now sitting around the 93rd spot by market cap, with daily and weekly charts still flashing red. It’s been a rough stretch for holders watching the token bleed value day after day.
Why the Hype Died So Fast
The project exploded onto the scene because it aligned perfectly with Trump’s aggressive crypto messaging. His administration pushed digital asset policies hard out of the gate, even creating a U.S. crypto reserve through executive order. But once that initial spark cooled, the token had little fundamental support to keep it elevated. As the broader market turned volatile, TRUMP found itself drifting lower, unable to keep up with the momentum of bigger altcoins.
Could TRUMP Still Stage a Comeback?
Even with all the damage, the story isn’t fully over. A meaningful recovery could form if macro conditions shift in the next few months. The probability of another interest rate cut in December has surged, and Trump has continued pressing the Fed for even more easing. Markets tend to move into risk assets when borrowing gets cheaper, and a broad crypto rebound heading into 2026 would pull TRUMP along for the ride. It’s not guaranteed, but the setup for a relief rally is getting stronger.
Bitcoin’s 2026 Outlook Could Be the Wild Card
The bigger anchor here is Bitcoin. Grayscale recently suggested BTC may follow a five-year cycle, implying a new all-time high could arrive in 2026. If that plays out, the entire market could see renewed inflows, and even weaker tokens like TRUMP might enjoy a second wind. A major BTC breakout tends to lift almost everything with it, and that could give Trump Coin just enough fuel to claw back some of its losses.
