- Stellar (XLM) is consolidating near $0.38, with support around $0.36–$0.37 critical for the next breakout attempt.
- A successful rebound could send the price toward $0.50, marking nearly 30% upside from current levels.
- Failure to hold support risks a drop to $0.30, erasing months of accumulation and weakening bullish momentum.
Stellar’s native token, XLM, has slipped just under the $0.39 line, leaving the market wondering if the next big move will push it closer to that long-awaited $0.50 mark. At press time, XLM sits around $0.3868, down roughly 2.3% this past week. Market cap hovers near $12.3 billion, with trading volumes dropping 19% to $150.6 million — a clear sign that traders are stepping back, at least for now.
Technicals Hint at a Reversal Ahead
Chart watchers say Stellar may need one last dip before the bulls try to flip the trend. A descending resistance line has been squeezing price action for weeks, but momentum underneath the surface is building. If support holds steady in the $0.36–$0.37 zone, a rally toward $0.50 is still on the table — a move that would mean almost 30% gains from here.
On the daily chart, Stellar’s been moving sideways since mid-September, cooling down after its July spike toward $0.45. RSI sits neutral at 50, showing the market isn’t overheated but also not oversold. This “in-between” vibe keeps the door open for either a breakout or a deeper pullback.
Mid-Range Structure Still Intact
It’s been a choppy year for Stellar, with rallies in late 2024 giving way to sharp corrections early 2025. Even so, price has held within a mid-range channel, keeping bullish sentiment alive. Many traders see the $0.50 mark as a psychological barrier — break it cleanly, and momentum could shift quickly in Stellar’s favor.
But if XLM loses its grip on the $0.36 support, things could turn ugly fast. A drop back to $0.30 would wipe out months of slow accumulation and likely drag sentiment further into the red.
What’s Next for Stellar?
If Stellar manages to break through resistance, it wouldn’t just signal a trend reversal — it could also revive interest in its payment-focused ecosystem at a time when institutions are warming up to blockchain-based settlements. On the flip side, another failure here could keep traders stuck in limbo, waiting longer for that bullish breakout.
For now, volume’s thinning, sentiment’s cautious, and the market feels like it’s holding its breath. The next move for XLM looks set to be a decisive one, with $0.36 and $0.50 standing out as the key battlegrounds.