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BlockNews
Home CRYPTO

Solana’s At a Crossroads—Breakout or Breakdown?

by Gary Ponce
July 5, 2025
in CRYPTO, FINANCE, OPINION, SOLANA
Reading Time: 3 mins read
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  • Solana is stuck between $145–$160, consolidating inside a rising channel while bulls struggle to break resistance.
  • A break above $160 could push SOL toward $170, but a drop below $145 risks a fall to $128.50.
  • Volume is fading and indecision rules, making the next few sessions key to determining direction.

Solana’s had a weird week—trading tight, stuck between $145 and $160 since Monday. Price is holding steady, which shows there’s still buyer interest… but also, like, hesitation. Bulls can’t quite break through, and that’s raising some eyebrows. If it can’t get past resistance soon, this whole consolidation could tip the other way.

Analyst Carl Runefelt pointed out something important—Solana’s trapped inside this rising channel. Looks bullish at first glance, sure, but patterns like these? They’ve got a habit of breaking down hard if support doesn’t hold. So yeah, the next couple of days might be kind of a big deal.

Now, macro’s looking better overall. Bitcoin’s flirting with new highs and usually SOL likes to follow BTC’s lead. But technicals are flashing warning signs. If SOL loses grip and dips under that lower trendline, it might head toward $128.50. On the flip side, a clean break above $160? That could push it right back to challenge its May highs.

Bulls Hold the Line—for Now

As of now, SOL is floating under $150—down about 20% from where it peaked in May. Still, it hasn’t collapsed, which says buyers aren’t backing off completely. It’s just kinda…waiting. That sideways movement is a sign of indecision, typical when everyone’s unsure whether to load up or get out.

Analysts think a breakout above the $150–$160 zone could kickstart a fresh run. But no one’s pretending it’s guaranteed. That rising channel Carl talked about? It’s holding, but if it snaps, $128.50 is the next place to watch. That area acted like a trampoline last time price dipped there.

The whole thing really depends on what happens next. Traders are hanging back, watching, not rushing. If SOL jumps back above $150 and sticks the landing, sentiment might turn real fast—and $170 isn’t far from there. But if it breaks below $145 and slips out of the pattern? It could get messy.

SOL Rangebound, Volume Fades

Right now, SOL’s trading at $147.62. Price has been pretty much stuck, moving sideways, caught in a narrow band. The daily chart shows rejection after rejection near that $155–$160 level—classic resistance. The 100-day moving average is adding pressure, hovering just above at $155.60, and the 200-day MA is even higher at $165.54.

Volume’s also way down compared to those early June spikes. That’s a big red flag—no volume means no conviction. If SOL does break $160, the bulls might wake up, and you could see it aim for $170. But again, that lower trendline of the rising channel? If it fails, we’re looking at $128.50 all over again.

So yeah—next few sessions could set the tone for weeks. Bulls need to step up or risk watching this thing unwind.

Tags: $BTC$SOLBlockchainCarl RunefeltcryptoSolana
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