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Pepe Coin: A Meme Coin on the Edge of a Bullish Rebound?

by Drop Gorn
February 5, 2025
in Crypto, Memecoins, Opinion
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Pepe Coin: A Meme Coin on the Edge of a Bullish Rebound?
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  • Bullish Wedge Pattern: Signals an 85% potential surge to $0.00002837 if breakout occurs.
  • Massive Trading Volume: $1.1 billion in 24 hours, second only to Dogecoin.
  • Open Interest Divergence: $487M futures interest climbing despite price decline, hinting at recovery.

Pepe Coin has had a rough ride lately. After soaring to an all-time high last year, the price has taken a tumble, with many investors shifting their attention to newer meme coins like Melania and Vine. Now sitting at a low of $0.00001530, Pepe is down nearly 50% from its December peak. The big question: is a comeback in sight, or will the downward spiral continue?

Technicals Point to a Potential Rebound

Looking at the daily chart, there are signs that Pepe might be gearing up for a turnaround. After a significant drop from its December highs, the coin has hit an important support level: the 50% Fibonacci Retracement point. This level also aligns with the 200-day moving average, a critical marker for long-term trends.

Notably, Pepe has formed a falling wedge pattern, a classic signal for a bullish reversal. The upper boundary of the wedge connects the major swing highs since December, while the lower boundary links the lows from November. These two lines are now nearing a crossover, which often indicates that a strong breakout could be on the horizon.

If this breakout happens, Pepe could rally toward the next key resistance level at $0.00002837, representing an 85% surge from its current price. However, the bullish outlook would be invalidated if the coin drops below the 61.8% Fibonacci level at $0.00001150.

What Could Push Pepe Higher?

While technicals are important, a few fundamental catalysts could also drive a Pepe price recovery:

  1. Sector Rotation into Older Meme Coins:
    The newer wave of meme coins—like Official Trump and Fartcoin—has been crashing, which might send investors running back to established names like Pepe and Shiba Inu. These older coins, while still volatile, are often seen as slightly “safer bets” within the meme coin space.
  2. Divergence Between Price and Open Interest:
    Despite Pepe’s declining price, futures open interest for the coin has been rising. Over the past few weeks, open interest has climbed to an impressive $487 million, up from just $144 million not long ago. Such divergence is often a precursor to price movements as it indicates strong interest from traders.
  3. High Trading Volume:
    Pepe’s 24-hour trading volume remains robust at $1.1 billion, making it the second-most traded meme coin behind only Dogecoin. High volume is generally a bullish indicator, as it shows sustained investor interest and liquidity in the market.

Broader Market Drivers

Pepe could also benefit from external factors. For example, the coin might gain traction if there’s a broader rally in the crypto market. A new Bitcoin all-time high, a resurgence in Ethereum prices, or even policies associated with Donald Trump could bring renewed attention to the meme coin space. There’s also speculation about a potential exchange-traded fund (ETF) tied to Pepe, which would add another layer of legitimacy and accessibility for institutional investors.

Final Thoughts

At $0.00001530, Pepe Coin is at a crossroads. The combination of technical signals, such as the falling wedge pattern, and fundamental drivers like high trading volume and sector rotation, suggest a rebound might be on the cards. Still, the market remains volatile, and any slip below the 61.8% Fibonacci level at $0.00001150 could invalidate the bullish scenario.

For now, all eyes are on the charts and broader market conditions as traders wait to see if Pepe can deliver an 85% surge—or if it will continue its downward trend.

Tags: $MELANIA$TRUMP$VineDogecoinDonald TrumpFartcoinPEPE
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