• Donald Trump has overtaken Kamala Harris in RealClearPolitics’ aggregated election odds average for the first time since their presidential debate
• Trump is ahead with some bookmakers like Bovada and Polymarket, while Harris leads with others like Betfair and Betsson
• National polls show a slightly different picture, with Harris leading Trump by a few percentage points according to FiveThirtyEight and other polling aggregators
Donald Trump has overtaken Kamala Harris in RealClearPolitics’ aggregated election odds average for the first time since the pair’s presidential debate in September. This comes despite Harris still leading Trump in most national polls.
Trump Ahead in Betting Odds
According to RealClearPolitics‘ aggregation of bookmakers’ odds, the Republican candidate was given a 49.4% chance of winning the White House while his Democratic rival was behind at 49.1% as of early Monday.
Trump is ahead with the bookies Bovada and Polymarket, while Harris leads with Betfair, Betsson and Smarkets. The pair were tied with Bwin and PointsBet.
Harris Still Leads in Polls
The latest national polls paint a slightly different picture however. According to polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight, Harris was leading Trump by 2.6 points nationally as of early Monday at 48.5% versus Trump’s 45.9%.
Nate Silver’s election poll averages also saw Harris slightly ahead at 49.3% with Trump at 46.2%. RealClearPolitics’ aggregation of national polls also had Harris ahead at 49.1% with Trump at 46.9%.
Swing States Remain Close
The race remains tight in the vital swing states. The candidates are currently separated by only a couple of percentage points on average. As of early Monday, Trump leads in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina while Harris leads in Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Nevada.
Conclusion
While Trump has overtaken Harris in betting odds, Harris still maintains a slight lead in most national polls. The race remains extremely close, especially in swing states that will likely determine the election.
