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Crypto Analyst Warns of Potential Year-End Bitcoin Pullback Amid Overheated Market

by Matoy
November 11, 2024
in Breaking News, Crypto
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  • CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju predicts Bitcoin may end the year around $59,000
  • Rising open interest and futures market activity point to potential overextension in Bitcoin prices
  • Record inflows into Bitcoin ETFs signal sustained demand, but experts note risks of a correction

CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju suggested Bitcoin may close the year under $59,000 due to rising signs of an overheated futures market. On November 9, Ki posted his $58,974 prediction, offering 0.1 BTC to whoever guesses closest to the year-end price. He warned that the futures market’s rapid growth could lead to a correction, though he acknowledged a rally would benefit long-term gains.

Source: Ki Young Ju on X

Futures Market Activity and Open Interest Surge

Bitcoin’s open interest, a key indicator of active positions in futures and options markets, hit a record high of nearly $50 billion, according to CoinGlass. Ki cautioned that such levels could lead to market consolidation, potentially stalling the recent uptrend.

Despite this, Ben Simpson, CEO of Collective Shift, believes a significant drop is β€œvery unlikely” this year. He pointed to positive economic signals, such as a potential rate cut, increased quantitative easing, and Bitcoin ETF volume reaching steady levels of $1 billion daily.

ETF Inflows Reflect Growing Institutional Demand

Bitcoin’s price surge to a new high of $81,570 on November 10 was supported by record inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs, totaling $1.6 billion in a single week, per Farside Investors. This level of demand has bolstered Bitcoin’s structure, with Simpson noting that pullbacks have been mild, ranging only around five to six percent. He added that this resilience points to a β€œsuper strong” market foundation that could drive further growth.

While both analysts acknowledge the possibility of short-term fluctuations, they also recognize the potential for Bitcoin’s price to keep climbing amid strong demand and limited supply.

Tags: Bitcoin
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