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ADA’s Fragile Balance: Will Support Hold or Will the Floor Collapse?

by Matoy
March 31, 2025
in Cardano, Crypto, Investing, Opinion
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  • ADA continues printing lower highs, showing weakness in bullish recovery efforts.
  • Price action now hovers above the Feb lows—retest or breakdown seems inevitable.
  • Bulls must reclaim $0.74 soon or the trend may spiral further downward.

From Euphoria to Exhaustion

Not too long ago, ADA shot up to $1.32 like it had rockets strapped to its back. That surge felt unstoppable. But since then? It’s been one long sigh. Every bounce that followed has been weaker than the last, and the most recent lower high near $0.77 didn’t even spark much of a fight. Honestly, it looked tired.

The chart paints a clear picture—ADA’s been on a slow, uneven slide since its December high. While we’ve seen decent recoveries (like that clean bounce to $1.17 in early March), they all fell flat. That’s what makes this current drop to the $0.65 area so concerning—it’s back at a level that previously invited big buyers, but now feels…I guess there’s nothing really to it.

Cardano loading up. ABCDE triangle in play. C wave down now, D & E next.

A bounce from the 0.5-0.618 Fib zone could set up a massive move to $1.5.

This is where OGs buy. You know the drill.$ADA is waking up… send it! 🚀 pic.twitter.com/R0emKapzVG

— RJT. WAGMI (@RJT_WAGMI) March 31, 2025

Danger Zone: $0.62 and Below

ADA’s dancing around a support zone near $0.65, and it’s a familiar one. We last touched this area in early February before rocketing back above $0.80. The thing is, that bounce was triggered by something stronger—a market-wide rally that isn’t here right now. So yeah, this time feels different.

If ADA breaks below $0.62 with conviction, there’s a solid chance we’ll retest the $0.58 area, or even revisit the brutal bottom at $0.50 from early Feb. That $0.50 mark is kind of the “line in the sand” for now. If that gives way? Yikes. We’re probably not ready for that conversation yet, but the market doesn’t wait for permission.

Adas Fragile Balance Will Support Hold or Will the Floor Collapse

What Needs to Change

For ADA to flip its fate, it has to make a clean move back toward $0.74 and then build from there—not just poke its head above and immediately drop like it did recently. We need to see the structure change, meaning a higher low followed by a higher high. Until that happens, bears will keep selling every pump.

You can also feel the hesitation in the way candles are forming—short bodies, weak closes. It’s almost like traders are watching each other, waiting to see who flinches first. But the price action doesn’t lie. The structure is still bearish, and until that flips, caution’s the smarter play.

Cardano’s Roots

Cardano (ADA) launched back in 2017, created by Charles Hoskinson—who also helped co-found Ethereum, fun fact. What set Cardano apart early on was its academic vibe. It was all about peer-reviewed research and careful step-by-step development. Built using the Haskell programming language, Cardano aimed to fix blockchain scalability, sustainability, and security with a layered architecture and its own proof-of-stake system, Ouroboros.

Tags: ADACardano
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