Bitcoin Supply on Exchanges Predicted to Exhaust in Nine Months as Halving Approaches

• Bitcoin’s upcoming halving is set to slash supply issuance by 50%, potentially emptying exchange reserves in nine months.
• U.S. Bitcoin ETFs could continue to drive demand, exacerbating the decline in available Bitcoin on exchanges.
• Amid a broader market downturn, Bitcoin’s value dropped over 10% last week, yet future price increases are anticipated due to reduced supply.

Demand for Bitcoin is poised to outstrip supply following a pivotal event known as the Bitcoin halving, which is scheduled to occur this week. This event will reduce the number of new Bitcoins entering circulation by half. Analysts predict that if the current level of demand persists, particularly from U.S. exchange-traded funds (ETFs), Bitcoin exchanges may run out of their reserves in just nine months.

Market Dynamics Shift as Halving Nears

Bitcoin halving events are significant in that they reduce the rate at which new coins are generated, thereby potentially increasing the value of Bitcoin due to its limited supply. According to a report from the cryptocurrency analysis firm Bybit dated April 15, there is an increasing scarcity of Bitcoin on exchanges. The report details that with the current daily investment into Bitcoin spot ETFs estimated at around $500 million, about 7,142 Bitcoins are being withdrawn from exchanges every day. This rate of withdrawal could deplete the remaining Bitcoin reserves, which are already at their lowest in nearly three years, by as early as nine months from now.

Recent data from CryptoQuant, a crypto analytics platform, revealed that Bitcoin reserves on centralized exchanges have dwindled to about 1.94 million BTC as of April 16, marking a significant decrease and the lowest level since mid-2021.

Institutional and Retail Investors Show Sustained Interest

Despite a recent price drop, where Bitcoin fell more than 10% last week, reaching $62,924, analysts at Bybit remain optimistic about a recovery. They suggest that the price may start to rise again as the halving takes effect and supply diminishes, potentially setting new price records.

Interest in Bitcoin continues to grow among institutional and retail investors alike. According to another Bybit report, institutional investors now allocate an average of 40% of their total assets to Bitcoin, while retail investors allocate about 24%. This growing demand, coupled with an impending decrease in supply, suggests a bullish outlook for Bitcoin’s future market performance.