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$9.5 Billion in Bitcoin Options Will Expire Tomorrow and Here is Why its Bullish

by Matoy
March 28, 2024
in Breaking News, Crypto, Investing
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  • Deribit exchange, holding the majority of these options, anticipates increased volatility due to this event.
  • This expiry could lead to significant price movements for Bitcoin, with a notable shift towards the $50,000 mark.
  • Over $15 billion in Bitcoin and Ether options are set to expire this Friday, potentially influencing market dynamics.

This week, the cryptocurrency community is bracing for a significant event as Deribit, a leading crypto options exchange, prepares for the expiration of 135,000 Bitcoin options, valued at approximately $9.5 billion. In addition, Ether options worth $5.7 billion are also nearing their expiry date. This massive expiry event is anticipated to inject a wave of volatility into the market.

NEW: $9.5 BILLION in #Bitcoin options expire tomorrow

Is this bullish?

— BlockNews.com (@blocknewsdotcom) March 28, 2024

According to CoinGape, Options contracts offer buyers the opportunity to purchase or sell an asset at a predetermined price, enabling them to hedge against price fluctuations or speculate on future price movements. The imminent expiry of these contracts, particularly in such large volumes, is a critical moment for traders and investors alike.

The Impact on Market Dynamics

The expiration of these options contracts is expected to exert upward pressure on the market, potentially leading to increased price volatility. With a significant portion of Bitcoin options set to expire in the money (ITM), meaning the strike price is favorable compared to the current market price, traders might experience shifts in the market dynamics.

Anticipated Effects on Bitcoin’s Value

Luuk Strijers, Deribit’s chief commercial officer, has pointed out that the large volume of ITM options expiry could lead to heightened market volatility. Specifically, for Bitcoin, the expiration of 40% of its options ITM might push the price towards a “maximum pain” point, estimated at $50,000. This scenario implies potential losses for option holders if the market price adjusts to this pain point following the expiry.

The upcoming options expiry is not only one of the largest for Deribit but also a significant event for the cryptocurrency market at large. It surpasses the expiry values of the previous two months, indicating a notable trend in the market’s evolution. As the market approaches this event, traders and investors are closely monitoring the potential implications for Bitcoin’s price and the broader cryptocurrency landscape.

The scheduled expiry, set for 8:00 UTC, marks another pivotal moment in this year’s cryptocurrency market activities, with possible ramifications for market volatility and the bullish sentiment currently prevailing.

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